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World’s Largest Cryptocurrency Bitcoin Drops To $31,000

The cryptocurrency market has continued its slide from last week, mirroring the fall of the broader stock market. The world’s largest cryptocurrency, bitcoin, fell to $31,075.70 on Monday evening, a 10% drop from Sunday at 5 p.m. EDT. Bitcoin’s price has fallen 54% from its record high of $67,802 in November. It is on track for the worst five-day stretch since the five days ended March 16, 2020, when it fell almost 38%. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, fell Monday to $2,286.10, almost 10% below the price Sunday evening.

With more professional investors trading crypto, the market has increasingly moved in tandem with traditional markets. Many institutional investors that buy cryptocurrencies treat them as risk assets, similar to technology stocks. Investors tend to retreat to safer corners of the market during turbulent bouts. The stock market dropped last week the day after the Federal Reserve announced a rate increase of a half point, the biggest since 2000, to battle inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said there could be additional increases during the summer. The central bank is also unwinding some of its $9 trillion asset portfolio. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite hit a new 52-week low on Monday, falling 26% year to date. Crypto prices have been stagnant for much of 2022 as investors brace for rising interest rates. The crypto market has been active over the past 24 hours, with almost $155 billion in market volume in that period, according to CoinMarketCap. The global crypto market fell to $1.4 trillion. Cryptocurrency companies have been working to become household names. Flush with venture-capital investment, crypto platforms have been spending more cash on lobbying efforts and marketing directly to consumers. Inflation fears, worries about big interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and jitters about a possible economic slowdown have rattled Wall Street and sent bond yields skyrocketing. The 10-year Treasury bond yield is now hovering just above 3.1%, having more than doubled this year. Long-term bond yields are now at their highest level since November 2018. The surge in yields has also helped lift the value of the dollar, which tends tor rise in tandem with interest rates. The US Dollar Index is now trading near its highest level in twenty years. That's bad news for bitcoin too, as many crypto backers point to dollar weakness as a bullish sign for digital currencies. As rates (and the dollar) continue to climb, some crypto skeptics think the selling in bitcoin has only just begun. The Federal Reserve is starting to pull back on monthly bond purchases and other stimulus which could be bad news for all sorts of speculative assets. "The dramatic reversal of Fed liquidity ... will collapse the pandemic era bubble in crypto currencies, money losing tech companies and meme stocks," said Jay Hatfield, chief investment officer of Infrastructure Capital Management and manager of the InfraCap Equity Income ETF.

Bitcoin Expected to Rise on Taproot Upgrade

Cryptocurrencies were mostly lower on Friday after buyers failed to sustain the all-time price highs reached in bitcoin and ether earlier this week. Analysts expect trading activity to advance next week following the Bitcoin Taproot upgrade, which aims to improve privacy and efficiency on the blockchain network. “Bulls may have some power left to push the market higher as a result of the [Taproot] upgrade,” Lukas Enzersdorfer-Konrad, chief product officer at Bitpanda, wrote in an email. The upgrade is expected to be implemented in the next few days, although other analysts expect minimal impact on bitcoin’s price. It’s possible some investors have entered long positions ahead of the Taproot upgrade given BTC’s near 30% gain over the past few months. In the meantime, traders are looking beyond bitcoin for additional profit opportunities, albeit after a possible price correction.

“Bitcoin’s chart has likely become too noisy to remain a reliable indicator of the crypto market, conceding that role to ether,” Alex Kuptsikevich, an analyst at FxPro, wrote in an email. “If so, a break of this strong uptrend could prove to be the first signal of a correction,” which could encourage buying on dips, Kuptsikevich wrote.

Latest prices


    Bitcoin (BTC): $64,192, -0.97%
    Ether (ETH): $4,673, -1.31%
    S&P 500: $4,682, +0.72%
    Gold: $1,865, +0.18%
    10-year Treasury yield closed at 1.57%

Bitcoin volatility declines

Bitcoin’s realized volatility is slowly drifting back toward a one-year low, according to options data provider Skew. The chart below shows a persistent decline in volatility since May, which was when BTC entered a bear market.

For now, some analysts expect volatility to remain low despite recent all-time price highs. QCP Capital, a crypto trading firm based in Singapore, stated in a Telegram chat that it holds a neutral position in BTC and a short-vega options position in ETH. Short-vega means the trader benefits if implied volatility falls.

Ether pullback expected

Ether, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, could face a pullback toward the $4,000-$4,2000 support zone. Technical indicators show initial signs of upside exhaustion after ether reached an all-time price high around $4,800 earlier this week.

ETH is up about 3% over the past week, compared with a 4% rise in BTC over the same period. The chart below shows a slight drop in the ETH/BTC price ratio this month, although the downside appears to be limited toward the 0.067 support level. Additionally, blockchain data shows ether’s active addresses and trading volumes have decoupled from rising prices, which could indicate scope for a pullback in ETH.

Ethereum Hits Record High

Ethereum price gained momentum above the USD 4,000 resistance level. ETH broke the USD 4,200 resistance and extended its increase above USD 4,300. The price tested the USD 4,375 zone, hitting its new all-time high before correcting lower. It is now consolidating gains and trading above USD 4,200. On the downside, an initial support is near the USD 4,180 level. The first key support is now forming near the USD 4,120 level. Bitcoin price is stable above the USD 65,000 pivot level. BTC started a fresh increase and traded above USD 66,000. It is currently (12:00 PM UTC) correcting gains near USD 65,000, but it could continue higher above the USD 66,000 level. Besides, most major altcoins are gaining strength. ETH gained 10% and it broke the USD 4,200 resistance, reaching its new all-time high.

XRP surpassed USD 1.15 before correcting lower again. ADA rallied above USD 2.20 and USD 2.25. After forming a base above USD 65,000, bitcoin price started a fresh increase. BTC was able to clear the USD 66,000 resistance zone. It is now facing hurdles near the USD 67,000 level. The next major resistance is near USD 68,000, above which the price may possibly rise towards the USD 70,000 level. On the downside, an initial support is near USD 65,000. The first major support is near USD 64,500, below which the price could decline towards the USD 63,500 support. Cardano (ADA) was able to clear the key USD 2.18 and USD 2.20 resistance levels. It tested the USD 2.30 zone and is now trading below the USD 2.32 resistance. A fresh increase above USD 2.32 could set the pace for a larger increase towards the USD 2.50 level. On the downside, the previous resistance at USD 2.20 is now a support zone. Litecoin (LTC) settled above the USD 200 level. An immediate resistance is near the USD 212 level. The next key hurdle is near USD 225. A close above USD 225 may possibly clear the path for a move towards the USD 250 level. The main support is near the USD 192 level. Dogecoin (DOGE) settled above the USD 0.250 pivot level. The price is now consolidating above USD 0.250 and it could rise further above USD 0.265. The next major stop for the bulls is near the USD 0.280 level. If there is a downside correction, the price might find support near USD 0.232. XRP price is lacking momentum above the USD 1.15 level. The main barrier is still near USD 1.20. A close above USD 1.20 is needed for upside continuation. In this case, the price might rise towards the USD 1.32 level. If not, it could revisit the USD 1.00 support zone in the coming sessions. Many altcoins are up over 10%, including NEXO, SOL, RUNE, FLOW, ENJ, OMG, REN, VET, QTUM, AAVE, HT, and TEL. Out of these, SOL gained 18% and surpassed the USD 190 level, before correcting lower. It’s now the 6th largest cryptoasset by market capitalization, just above XRP. To sum up, bitcoin price is correcting gains from USD 67,000. However, BTC might support near USD 63,500 or USD 62,000, and it could start a fresh increase in the near term.